home / subscribe / donate / books / t-shirts / search / links / feedback / events / faq
Inside the New Print Edition of Our Subscriber-Only Newsletter!
New York Times Director Probed for "Breach of Trust"
To the Sulzberger family that controls the New York Times he has been the ultimate Good German. High-flying Thomas Middelhof took New York by storm, buying Random House for Bertelsmann, invited onto the NYT board, a member of its compensation committee. Read Eamonn Fingleton’s exclusive on how Middelhof has crashed to earth and how the NYT has buried the story. Amid New York’s savage fiscal crisis, guess what? The city ponies up $50 million for a nice new park for rich people in Manhattan. Read Carl Ginsburg on the High Line. PLUS Elyssa Pachico on how rural revolution in Colombia has gone digital. PLUS co-editor Cockburn on how, in Obama Time, the Israel lobby is carrying all before it. What a surprise. Get your new edition today by subscribing online or calling 1-800-840-3683 Contributions to CounterPunch are tax-deductible. Click here to make a donation. If you find our site useful please: Subscribe Now! CounterPunch books and t-shirts make great presents.
Order CounterPunch By Email For Only $35 a Year !
Meet & Debate (Perhaps Even Date) CPers Online at CounterPunch's New Facebook Page
|
Today's Stories August 11, 2009 Ricardo Alarcón August 10, 2009 David Price Mike Whitney Alan Farago Conn Hallinan Russell Mokhiber Paul Krassner Sousan Hammad Jonathan Cook Ira Glunts George Wuerthner Website of the Day August 7 - 9, 2009 Alexander Cockburn Mike Whitney Elaine C. Hagopian Carl Ginsburg Miguel Tinker Salas Saul Landau John Ross Anthony DiMaggio Obama and the Israel Lobby: Origins of Power John Stanton Christopher Brauchli Legal Absurdities: Outing Three Strikes Wajahat Ali Ron Jacobs Franklin Lamb Bruce E. Levine Michael Winship David Macaray Stephen Fleischman Robert Bryce Robert Dodge, MD: Hiroshima and Nagasaki Remembered Mark Seth Lender David Yearsley Ben Sonnenberg Lorenzo Wolff Poets' Basement Website of the Weekend August 6, 2009 Ishmael Reed Paul Craig Roberts William Blum Assassinations and Coups: Keeping Track of the Empire's Crimes Michael Donnelly Jonathan Cook Dave Lindorff Ellen Brown Website of the Day August 5, 2009 Dedrick Muhammad / Norman Solomon William Blum Gareth Porter Mary Lynn Cramer Jim Goodman Nadia Hijab Gretchen Kroth Steve Macek / Sarah Lazare Website of the Day August 4, 2009 Mike Whitney Dave Lindorff Patrick Cockburn Jonathan Cook Jeff Sher Dean Baker Andy Worthington Uri Avnery Mark Weisbrot Alvaro Huerta Website of the Day
August 3, 2009 Pam Martens Anthony DiMaggio Udi Aloni Mike Roselle Dr. Susan Block Roy Bourgeois / Margaret Knapke Joe Bageant Dina Jadallah Dave Lindorff Martha Rosenberg Website of the Day July 31 - August 2, 2009 Alexander Cockburn Gabriel Kolko John Prados Joe Bageant Tim Wise Carl Ginsburg Michael Fox John Lindsay-Poland Michael Winship Rev. William Alberts Andy Worthington Steve Breyman Cyrus Bina Missy Beattie Ron Jacobs Willie L. Pelote, Sr. Lucia Alvarez Dave Lindorff Lawrence R. Velvel Omar Barghouti / James L. Secor Belén Fernández Jeffrey St. Clair David Yearsley Brian J. Foley Alan Cabal Kim Nicolini Lorenzo Wolff Poets' Basement Website of the Weekend July 30, 2009 Patrick Cockburn Gareth Porter Saul Landau Greg Grandin Diane Farsetta Stephen Soldz Alan Farago David Macaray Mike Howells / Christopher Brauchli Website of the Day July 29, 2009 Carl Ginsburg Clifton Ross Paul Craig Roberts Franklin C. Spinney James Bovard Lackawanna Six: Bogus Charges and Martial Law Anthony DiMaggio Bouthaina Shaaban Greg Moses Wajahat Ali Gary Leupp Ayesha Ijaz Khan Website of the Day July 28, 2009 Jean Bricmont Uri Avnery Dean Baker Heather Gray Jonathan Cook Winslow T. Wheeler Belén Fernández Carl Finamore Eli Jelly-Schapiro Harvey Wasserman Website of the Day July 27, 2009 Ishmael Reed Patrick Cockburn Roger Burbach Steve Breyman Ramzy Kysia Stephen Soldz Raymond J. Lawrence Greg Moses Binoy Kampmark Kim Ives Website of the Day July 24-26, 2009 Alexander Cockburn Clifton Ross Patrick Cockburn William Polk David Sterritt Ray McGovern David Lindorff Hannah Mermelstein Carl Ginsburg Helen Redmond John Ross Bill Simpich Mark Weisbrot Lee Sustar David Macaray Felipe Matsunaga Sara Mann Martha Rosenberg Missy Beattie David Ker Thomson Ron Jacobs Stephen Martin David Yearsley Gilad Atzmon Kim Nicolini Poets' Basement Website of the Weekend July 23, 2009 Jeffrey St. Clair Saul Landau / Jonathan Cook Nadia Hijab Dave Lindorff Laura Carlsen Steve Breyman Ellen Brown Norman Solomon Jorge Mariscal Website of the Day July 22, 2009 Bernard Chazelle Nikolas Kozloff Carl Ginsburg Clifton Ross Anthony DiMaggio Michael Donnelly Nadia Hijab Dedrick Muhammad Charles Thomson Alan Farago Website of the Day July 21, 2009 Sasan Fayazmanesh Uri Avnery Dean Baker Jonathan Cook Dave Lindorff Andy Worthington David Macaray Carl Finamore Harvey Wasserman Walter Brasch Website of the Day
July 20, 2009 Pam Martens Nikolas Kozloff Paul Craig Roberts Deepak Tripathi Ira Glunts P. Sainath Binoy Kampmark Stephen Fleischman Norman Solomon Andy Worthington Ron Jacobs Website of the Day
July 17-19, 2009 Alexander Cockburn Nikolas Kozloff Joanne Mariner Joe Bageant Jonathan Cook Saul Landau John Ross Sue Sturgis Anita Sinha / Peter Morici Pervez Hoodbhoy Ramzy Baroud Greg Moses Kia Mistilis Missy Beattie David Ker Thomson James G. Abourezk Paul Richards Dave Lindorff Marc Levy Matt Siegfried Stephen Martin Ben Sonnenberg David Macaray Charles R. Larson David Yearsley Lorenzo Wolff Poets' Basement Website of the Weekend July 16, 2009 Paul Craig Roberts Afshin Rattansi Iranian Planes and the Hidden Toll of Economic Sanctions Gregory V. Button Evan Knappenberger Michelle Bollinger Russell Mokhiber Belén Fernández Alice Walker Nicholas Dearden Albert Osueke Website of the Day
Manuel Garcia, Jr. Vijay Prashad Dean Baker Ray McGovern Jonathan Cook David Rosen Eric Walberg Greg Moses Sousan Hammad Binoy Kampmark Tracy McLellan Website of the Day July 14, 2009 Eamonn McCann Joanne Mariner Franklin Spinney Steve Heilig Ali Abunimah Dave Lindorff Nikolas Kozloff Ellen Brown Alice Slater Ron Jacobs Joe Allen Website of the Day July 13, 2009 Uri Avnery Mike Whitney P. Sainath Gareth Porter Paul Moore Tim Wise Andy Worthington Former Insider Shatters Credibility of Military Commissions David Macaray Cal Winslow Niranjan Ramakrishnan Website of the Day July 10-12, 2009 Alexander Cockburn José Pertierra John Ross Conn Hallinan Nikolas Kozloff Clifton Ross / Carl Ginsburg Michael Neumann Gilad Atzmon Jeffrey St. Clair Ellen Hodgson Brown Jim Goodman Christopher Bickerton Wendell Potter Dave Lindorff David Ker Thomson Anthony DiMaggio Raymond Lawrence Walid El Houri Stephanie Westbrook Roger Gaess David Yearsley Kim Nicolini Poets' Basement Website of the Weekend
|
August 11, 2009 Most of Us are Broke ... LiterallyAmerica's Biggest Economic Problem?By MARSHALL AUERBACK
Almost half of U.S. homeowners with a mortgage are likely to owe more than their properties are worth before the housing recession ends, Deutsche Bank AG estimates. The percentage of “underwater” loans may rise to 48 percent, or 25 million homes, as prices drop through the first quarter of 2011, Karen Weaver and Ying Shen, analysts in New York at Deutsche Bank, wrote in a report published August 6. In December 2006, only a few months after the peak of the housing bull market, the total value of U.S. residential property stood at $21.9 trillion. Prices have dropped by 31 percent since the end of 2006, so the estimated value today is about $15 trillion; however, the mortgage debt remains more or less unchanged and stands at $10.6 trillion. In other words, whereas debt-to-equity in the U.S. housing market was 48 per cent as recently as in December 2006, it is now 70 per cent and will rise to 80 per cent once house prices have mean-reverted. Although painful, a rise in debt-to-equity of that magnitude would actually be manageable if it were not for the fact that income and wealth in the US is extremely skewed. The top 1 per cent of income earners in the U.S. account for more than 20 per cent of national income while the median household has seen no improvement in income for the past ten years. Within the median household sector itself, then, there is still a tremendous financial vulnerability which has not been addressed at all by the Obama administration. Home ownership in the U.S. is far greater than in most modern economies. Equity ownership is also high. The bursting of the real estate and equity bubbles has destroyed the wealth of the U.S. middle class to a devastating degree. And it is with this middle class that the high private indebtedness lies. If there is going to be a further financial crisis in the U.S. it is probably going to be focused on the household sector. If balance sheet recession dynamics are going to depress aggregate demand through wealth destruction and debt repayment, it is probably household sector demand where this will surface. Almost one-third of all U.S. households have no mortgage. If you adjust for that, the 70-80 percent debt-to-equity ratio suddenly becomes a major challenge because it means that the two-thirds who do have a mortgage already face a debt-to-equity ratio in excess of 100 per cent. Even worse, once the mean reversion has run its course, two-thirds of US households will be facing a debt-to-equity ratio of 120-125 per cent on average. U.S. consumers are effectively broke. Obviously, households have assets and liabilities other than property and mortgages. But it’s clear that the U.S. consumer has been repeatedly on the losing end of the serial “bubblelisation” of the American economy. The collapse of the dot.com bubble and the more recent plunge in real estate means that the great majority of U.S. households are more financially stressed at any time since the Great Depression. And yet policy has been largely directed toward “solving” the “problems” of the financial sector (where much of the country’s existing wealth is concentrated), and only minimal efforts have been applied to solve the debt problems of households and non-financial businesses As the DB Securities report illustrates, households’ ability to spend is a function of three factors - cash flow (which again is driven mainly by income, mortgage rates and tax), credit (bank lending) and homeowner equity (property prices). Now, with negative equity against their main asset, with even more pressure on income as a result of the recession and with virtually no savings to cushion the pain, the majority of U.S. households have no choice but to cut back drastically on their consumption. And with the U.S. consumer being forced to pull back, the global recovery story turns very pale indeed in the absence of sustained fiscal stimulus WHICH PUTS THE FOCUS ON AGGREGATE DEMAND, NOT BANK BALANCE SHEETS, as I have repeatedly argued. The U.S. economy is today crushed by massive household indebtedness. Maintenance of the status quo is not a solution. Administration proposals to relieve debt burdens by encouraging lenders to renegotiate mortgages have failed miserably. Personal income is falling at a terrifying rate. Already 6.5 million have lost their jobs—with June, alone, adding a half million job losses. The administration’s promise that the stimulus package will create 3.5 million jobs over the next two years is unsatisfying in the face of the challenges faced. And yet we are told to “be patient.” We need federal government spending programs to provide jobs and incomes that will restore the creditworthiness of borrowers and the profitability of for-profit firms. We need a package of policies to relieve households of intolerable debt burdens. In addition, given that the current crisis was fuelled in part by a housing boom, we need to find a way to deal with the oversupply of houses that is devastating for communities left with vacancies that drive down real estate values while increasing social costs. And we’ve got to reign in the born-again deficit hawks who, having got their fill from the government’s fiscal trough, have all of a sudden become preoccupied with “paying for” additional spending through tax hikes or spending cuts elsewhere. If home prices revert to their mean the average mortgage indebted American homeowner will have a deeply negative home equity. Given the paltry liquid wealth and 401K holdings, most of such households may have no net worth at all. Under current U.S. law widespread negative home equity could lead to mass debt repudiation as opposed to debt paydown, which could lead to an ever growing number of foreclosures which in turn could further weaker house prices. Because so much of the broad U.S. middle class will have their personal net worth decimated, it might lead to a social and political crisis of sorts. Such a crisis could materialize sooner and more abruptly than is now appreciated in Washington. The brief populist anger felt in the wake of the AIG bonus payouts might be child’s play compared to what is in store in the future. Marshall Auerback is a market analyst and commentator. He is a brainstruster for the Franklin and Eleanor Roosevelt Intitute. He can be reached at MAuer1959@aol.com
|
Now Available from CounterPunch Books! Yellowstone Drift: Spell Albuquerque: Waiting for
Lightning
|